Thursday 30 April 2015

House price pressure in North East

House prices in the North East of England dropped by 4% between February and March according to the Land Registry for England and Wales.

Hartlepool, Darlington, Durham and Middlesbrough were all lower over the month and year on year.

Prices in Wales were down nearly 3% in March.

The figures illustrate the patchy nature of the housing market, with London and the South East still rising, most regions stagnant and some areas showing sharp falls.

For example (month on month):

-3.3% Hartlepool
-1.6% Darlington
-3.1% Middlesbrough

-1.9% Gwynedd
-3.3% Rhondda
-2.3% Bridgend

Across England and Wales as a whole, the value of homes was down 0.8% over March, though still 5.3% higher than 12 months ago.

The average price stands at just over £178,000.

In contrast, recent figures from the Registers for Scotland showed Scottish prices up more than 13% in the last year, with East Lothian up 28.6%.

And the most up to date house prices numbers, from Nationwide yesterday, suggested the market was resuming its upward trend, with an overall increase of 1% between March and April.

Wednesday 29 April 2015

Fewer going bust

Fewer people are going bust and the least nasty form of insolvency, the Individual Voluntary Arrangement or IVA, is now falling along with bankruptcies and Debt Relief Orders.

There were 10,405 IVAs in England and Wales in the first three months of the year, down 24% from the same time last year. This is the route where you make a formal agreement with creditors to pay back an amount you can afford.

Mark Sands from the insolvency firm, Baker Tilly, tells me this is basically as a good as it sounds, a sign that those in the most acute financial trouble after the credit crunch and the recession are working through the system.

Through this period, they avoided "giving up on their debts" through a bankruptcy or DRO -- if they could -- by opting instead for the optimistic route of an IVA and pledging to try to pay money back.

But now fewer are needing to walk down the IVA road either, helped by the recovery and continued forbearance from some lenders.

What next? There are still many more people who go bust than in the dim, distant past before the credit boom of the early years of this century.

And that probably won't change, because we have grown addicted to being able to borrow money when we feel like it.

In fact we could now be close to a low point.

Mark points out that unsecured lending - where you don't have to pledge your home or other assets - is on the rise once again.

Plus interest rates will rise at some stage, even if some forecasters now suggest that stage may not be reached until next year.

So now may be the time to start looking at how we can prevent the number of personal insolvencies starting to bounce back again.